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RIGHT-WING THINKING IS GOING TO RESCUE OUR LIVING STANDARDS

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PUMPING UP PRICES: Global demand and rising taxes mean we're all feeling the pinch

Tuesday May 13,2008

By Patrick O'Flynn

THERE ARE two years until the next general election is likely to be held, but I’ve some news for Labour, Tory and Lib Dem supporters alike: the result is already a foregone conclusion.

I do not mean I know for certain who will be occupying 10 Downing Street afterwards. But what is surely beyond doubt is that Right-wing ideas will be in the ascendant in British politics for the next 10 years or more.

The next decade is going to be all about a quest by the State to provide better value for money and enhanced consumer choice in public services.

And, though no leading politician will yet say so, it is also going to be about delivering tax cuts. I can be sure of this because it is what the voters will demand. Powerful economic trends dictate it and any politician who does not respond to them is sunk.

Major changes in the terms of trade of British politics occur very seldom. Margaret Thatcher’s election in 1979 was obviously one, the coming to power of New Labour in 1997 another. Thatcher was elected to save the British economy from the debilitating impact of excessive trade union power, New Labour to ensure that the private affluence engineered by the Tories was not accompanied by public squalor.

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Every week in Prime Minister’s Questions, Mr Brown still boasts about how much more of our money he is spending.
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Labour’s extra public spending ticked all the boxes for voters because they could afford it. The Asian manufacturing miracle meant Britain was awash with cheap goods. Global commodity prices stayed low. British wages could go up without igniting inflation. Disposable incomes and house prices rose strongly every year.

When Right-wingers pointed to the rising tax burden, people failed to become alarmed because they felt no financial pain. Instead, Labour politicians won elections by running scare stories about the terrible things that would happen to public services if the Tories came in with their “cuts”.

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None of this is true any more. That Asian economic miracle has changed China and India. Their populations now have the buying power to demand all the trappings of a consumer lifestyle. As a result commodity prices are running out of control. Oil, gas, foodstuffs and mineral prices are high and going higher. And mortgage rates have gone up as well. The impact on the cost of living in Britain has been devastating. Everybody is feeling the pinch.

As Bank of England Governor Mervyn King puts it: “The higher level of energy and food prices is a genuine reduction in our standard of living.”

Most of us have managed to make savings. But with gas, electricity, petrol and food bills carrying on upwards, soon there will be no more fat to be trimmed. Progressive impoverishment beckons. A study by the Centre for Economics and Business Research shows this is already happening, with disposable incomes falling by 3.2 per cent in 2007.

We can do almost nothing to counter the global commodities price boom. Fortunately, there is one area of domestic spending ripe for radical pruning: the £600billion public sector.

A new survey by the TaxPayers’ Alliance shows that families are now paying an average £20,700 a year to support the activities of the State – a 51 per cent real terms rise over the past 11 years. Voters are now painfully aware that most of this extra spending of £8,500 per year per household has been wasted.

Groups of workers, including doctors and teachers, have been paid much more to do much less. Armies of pen-pushers have been recruited by local authorities. Private sector pension funds have been plundered by the taxman but excruciatingly expensive public sector schemes have been left intact.

Last week Terence Grange, the 58-year-old former chief constable of Dyfed-Powys, was reported to be on an annual pension of £80,000. If he lives another 20 years that’s a bill of £1.6million for just one retired public servant.

In almost every major public service, from health to education and the police, provision remains organised around the wishes of the workforce rather than the needs of consumers. Days lost to strikes are massively higher than in the private sector, as are absentee rates. Projects such as the Olympics spend money like water.

The output of the public sector is, in addition, recklessly shared out among layabouts and freeloading foreigners rather than being limited to the taxpayers who fund it.

A sector that accounts for 40 per cent of everybody’s income is crying out to be reformed. As far as enhancing British living standards goes, this task will be the biggest show in town for many years ahead.

Gordon Brown’s Labour Party is sinking in the polls because it fails to recognise this. Bankrolled by the public sector unions, it has become the protector of a vested interest rather than a vehicle for pursuing the national interest.

Every week in Prime Minister’s Questions, Mr Brown still boasts about how much more of our money he is spending.

Last week he bragged: “We have allocated over the next three years £1.7billion for infrastructure in growth areas and new growth points,” as if that settled an argument about town planning.

The new breed of successful British politician will understand that the era of regarding aggregate public spending as a virility test is at an end.

It will not be easy. There are unions to be faced down and strikes to be broken, but the future belongs to whoever can deliver a cut-price public sector and put money back in the pockets of the British people.


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REAL REASON FOR LABOUR LANDSLIDE IN 1997

15.05.08, 11:59am

I AGREE WITH PATRICK'S EXCELLENT ARTICLE APART FROM HIS REASON FOR A LABOUR LANDSLIDE IN 1997.
VOTERS DID NOT VOTE LABOUR IN SO THAT THEY COULD PAY EXTRA TAXES BECAUSE THEY COULD AFFORD IT.
THEY WANTED TO SEE AN END TO THE DISASTROUS JOHN MAJOR YEARS.
WHEN SO MANY FAMILIES LOST THEIR HOMES AND OTHERS CAME PERIOUSLY CLOSE TO DOING SO WHEN THIS INCOMPETENT MISFIT GAMBLED WITH MORTGAGE RATES IN THE ERM FIASCO.
IT WAS BLACK WEDNESDAY THAT BROUGHT NEW LABOUR TO POWER.

• Posted by: ANDREW2Report Comment

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LIVING BEYOND OUR MEANS

13.05.08, 7:53pm

I agree with this article. In particular public sector pensions are an unexploded bomb in the public finances which will go off at some point forcing the government to take drastic action. There is a case already for steep cuts in public spending and MPs could set an example by cutting their own salaries, pay, pensions and expenses. After 1929 President Hoover thought that the way to end the US depression was increased government spending and an increase in the money supply (partly ironically to bail out Britain which was at the time addicted to cheap credit!). Hoover failed and the Great Depression was prolonged for eleven years.

• Posted by: panaderoReport Comment

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THE RESCUE OF TSTANDARDS

13.05.08, 7:08pm

Strange, every time good ideas are put forward which offer sanity to a besieged nation, out of the woodwork come the "Camertons" of the dithering classes. Everyone is inept. They're all the same etc. etc. to the point of screaming pointlessness. We've tried one side, for God's sake, throw them out and go to the other. Or simply read some political history and emmigrate to Russia. Just get off our backs.

• Posted by: bluenoteReport Comment

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INFLATION MANIA

13.05.08, 1:53pm

(Gordon Brown) did give the Bank 'operational independence'. They were given responsibility for setting interest rates to achieve the inflation target set by the government. Monetary policy had come of age!

Or did we just give more control to the financial institution that fueled the UK & Global property market boom............

Investors and wannabe investors all lunged at the property market pushing house prices to unsustainable heights this created a bubble that is now leaking very quickly, but the investors that are smart got out first leaving other people washed up.

We have all been here before in the 90's and therefore some of us remember.

Is History repeating itselfor are the writers of the last chapter simply wrote a new one were the people on the ground are left with the bill for the champaighn they drank.

The moral of this is if we make our home base cost expensive then everything else has to to follow and that is a very scary but principle rule in economics.



• Posted by: DialsliderReport Comment

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£600BILLION TO RUN OUR PUBLIC SERVICES - WHAT BLOODY PUBLIC SERVICES?

13.05.08, 9:57am

The rich become richer. The poor become poorer.

The amount of spin dished-up by Downing Street is mind-boggling.

WHY should MP's care about anyone other than themselves - they know how to line their pockets.

To hell with the rest of us.

Dictator Prudence U-Turn Brown could not care less.

• Posted by: ReubenMohawaliReport Comment

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***EDITED - DO NOT PROMOTE POLITICAL PARTIES***

13.05.08, 9:50am

I don't honestly think that the Tories can be trusted to deliver signifcant cuts in public spending - or indeed any cuts.

For one thing, the Conservative Party's candidates list is chock full of people who think that MPs deserve huge salaries, expense accounts, and pensions. If they can't take their own snouts out of the trough, then don't expect them to make anyone else do the same.

Second, the Tories, for all their hot air on the subject, will never really tackle the problem of immigration. We cannot hope to contain public spending until immigration is contained.

• Posted by: CamertonReport Comment

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Patrick O'Flynn

Speaking up for Britain

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